“Americans just like their cars.” This is all that most
television news analysts are left with after trying and failing to explain why demand
for roads, cars, and gasoline continues to increase in spite of everhigher prices
at the pump. It is not the only place we find this catch-all phrase. Why does
demand for roads seem to be increasing while market demand for transit systems
appears to be non-existent without significant social engineering? Americans
prefer to drive. Why have the past 60 years of growth in this country been
characterized primarily by auto-dependent, sprawling suburbs? Again, that potent
love-affair with the road.
Set against this chorus plays another set of beliefs and opinions championed by
a coalition of architects, urban planners, sociology professors, and other generally
progressive folk. The gasguzzling automobile, we are told, is a symbol of what
is wrong with America.
Post WWII suburbs, characterized by a strict separation of housing, shopping,
offices, and civic space accessible only by the car are inefficient and
environmentally damaging social wastelands. Worst of all, critics claim that
this kind of development perpetuates racial segregation, class stratification,
and a host of other evils. If only Americans would embrace smaller hybrid cars,
more transit, and denser development, we could all live together in peace and
harmony.
There may be some truth in these opinions, but since conventional wisdom says
that the root cause of automobile dependence is a disposition or preference, progressives
risk sounding like arrogant social engineers. This is not an inevitable
tension, however, because what both views lack is clear economic theory. The
question of why the demand for automobiles and roads (as well as for transit)
acts the way it does should be subjected to a similar kind of analysis that we would
expect for any other economic good.
Private automobiles and public transit are two different “goods” that try to
meet the same need: the desire of people to get from one place to another. It
is similar to, for example, the market for house cladding, which, for
simplicity’s sake, we’ll say consists of bricks and wood siding. Both brick and
wooden boards serve the same purpose—protecting people from the elements. However,
brickmaking and logging are distinct processes, and determining the appropriate
material for a given house depends on many factors such as price, climate, and
maintenance. The same reasoning applies to cars and transit. There are many
trips for which a car makes sense. If, for example, I am going on a major shopping
trip, it might be more convenient to load my groceries into my trunk than lug
them on the subway. Other trips might be easier by transit. If I am commuting
by myself over a heavily traveled route into a dense urban area, it might save
time and to take commuter rail.
In such systems, pricing is the way in which information is communicated
between the supplier and consumer so that everyone can make the best decision. If,
for example there is a clay shortage, brick prices will rise, and more people
will choose wood. Likewise, if gas prices rise, demand for transit will go up.
Or at least it is supposed to.
A smart reader may have noticed by now, though, that there are some serious
differences between the siding and transportation markets. For one, the
government currently controls the supply of both roads and transit, while
bricks and lumber are generally created by private enterprises. A far more important
difference is in the pricing structure. In the cladding market, there is a
strong relationship between supply, demand and price. While that relationship
exists in the market for gas and automobiles, it is almost completely non-existent
when it comes to the supply of roads.
The fact that government has historically been involved in the creation of
transportation infrastructure reflects the fact that the creation of road or
rail networks is almost insurmountably difficult without the use of the
government’s power of eminent domain. That meant that government and communities
had to either directly build and operate the network (as in the case of roads)
or do so indirectly through franchises (in the case of rails). This is not the
most important difference, however, because even when the supplier of a good is
one entity, information can still be communicated through prices to consumers.
For example, even if the government was the sole supplier of bricks, it could
still respond to a shortage of clay by raising prices, thus regulating demand
and avoiding massive shortages.
This, however, is not how the market works when it comes to the supply of
roads. With the exception of a few tolls on limited access highways, the
government supplies roads over most routes using taxes levied on all citizens
or drivers regardless of how much they use a particular route. If, for example,
I have a choice between driving my car along a heavily congested freeway or
taking a train that runs along the same route, I will probably choose to take
my car (for its privacy and added convenience) if both trips cost the same to
me. When thousands of other commuters make the same decision, the result is gridlock.
If the same situation (massive demand and limited supply of a “superior” good) occurred
with bricks, the price of bricks would go up so that enough people would choose
wood instead and there would be no shortage. In the lack of any market pricing structure,
gridlock takes the place of high prices and the result is a long commute for the
drivers and an anorexic transit system for the riders due to less demand.
It is this market structure, not some uniquely American infatuation with cars,
which explains why most growth in this country has been completely dependent on
the automobile. If the government supplied bricks free-of-charge to consumers
using general tax revenue, it would be no mystery why every new community
looked like colonial Virginia.
What can we do about this problem? Thanks to recent advances in toll collection
technology, it is now possible to inject free market ideas to an extent that
would have been unimaginable only a generation ago. An ideal solution would
involve automatic toll collection on every state owned road. Toll prices would
set by a politically independent agency that applied a predictable formula to keep
all roads running at capacity, using money produced by high demand roads to fund
a combination of transit and road improvements.
London recently implemented a “Congestion
Charging Zone” in a heavily used section of the city. This scheme, in which
cars must pay to travel in the affected area, has proven so effective at
reducing traffic and providing money for road improvements that the city recently
decided to expand the program’s area. EZPass and SmartTag, two automatic toll technologies
already in operation along the east coast demonstrate how far the collection
tools have developed. With technology rapidly advancing, and cities like London
proving the effectiveness of these basic economic concepts, it looks like there
may finally be a chance to exorcise the demons of automobile dependence in America.
is a sophomore in CalhounCollege and Webmaster of The Yale Free Press.